Microsoft Silverlight stumbles at the gate

I have in the past predicted that Adobe Flash will lose out to Microsoft Silverlight.

But Microsoft keeps slipping up in one key area : ubiquity.

Silverlight was supposedly a technology that would run everywhere - including on mobile devices.

But Microsoft can't even get Silverlight running on their own Windows Mobile platform, let alone any other mobile devices.

On the other hand, Flash has Flash Lite, which is already on millions of handheld devices worldwide.

Yes, the Microsoft development tools actually work reliably, and yes, the Flash development tools are riddled with bugs, poorly documented, and priced uncompetitively.

But with the meteoric rise of handheld devices, and the lack of Silverlight support for any handheld devices (despite announcements over the past two years or so that "it's coming"), Microsoft is giving Adobe a massive breather.

A breather that may cost Microsoft years in their attempt to dominate this particular market.

If Adobe would make their tools and documentation at least as good as Microsoft's, then they could justify their price structure, and leave few incentives for anyone to use Silverlight.

But on the other hand, if Adobe continues to prove incompetent in QC for software development tools and documentation, and Microsoft finally gets their act together with the long-promised and I'm-growing-tired-of-waiting-for "Silverlight for mobile", then my original prediction stands, and Silverlight will move out of the realm of predominantly line-of-business apps, more and more into the mainstream, until the days of Adobe's dominance are a distant memory like the Commodore 64.